"The problem with socialism is you eventually run out of other people's money" - Margaret Thatcher
"The curious task of economics is to demonstrate to men how little they really know about what they imagine they can design" - F.A. Hayek
I have been thinking lately that QEII will just do what has already been done...generate another asset price/commodity bubble. If that is the case, then once again the Fed has become the problem and not the solution. I suppose a policy maker always wants to be seen to be doing something in times of crisis. But doing something is not always better than doing nothing, especially if it induces greater instability. And as Charles Calomiris pointed out last week, we are in recovery and not in crisis mode. Is $1 trillion really worth 20 basis points in the 10-year Treasury rate and a huge risk for a redux of That 70s Show?
They say God created whiskey so the Irish don't rule the world. Well I dunno. But I do know when the Irish government guaranteed ALL the debts of ALL their large banks in our recent little world crisis, they sure set themselves up for a big headache. It should have been Irish crew cuts for all but the depositors. But the Irish are bailing everyone. Maybe there really is a pot o' gold at the end of the rainbow. For Ireland's sake I hope there is.
Here we are at last weekend's Breeder's Cup. I am representing my school as you can see. ECU has been good to me and my family so I'm going to show some school spirit. Also there is a picture of me and my degenerate horse race gambling buddy Marshall Gramm. Also that's me with my brother Rick and ECU Wall of Fame member Francis Vaughn. A good time was had by all.
The 11th hour of the 11th day of the 11th month...ended the First World War in 1918. That is what gave us Veterans' Day. So did the dude above Arch Duke Ferdinand. WWI is ghoulish and ghastly to reflect upon. A machine gun war with Civil war tactics. Mass wave assaults with no chance of success, poison gas, artillery shelling for days on end and trench warfare. I have read reports that some British soldiers were still assaulting German positions at 10:59 am on the last day. God help us. What a waste.
The greatest dog in the world has left me. My dog Misiu (Me-shoe), which is Polish for little teddy bear, has died from an insulnoma which is a tumor on her pancreas. This caused her insulin levels to soar and generated hypoglycemia. We controlled it for a while but the bigger the tumor got, the crazier went the insulin levels until we could no longer keep her blood sugar high enough to survive. I include two pictures of her. One with my other trusty companion, her half brother, Spanky who I lost a few years ago. They are hanging out in my 1971 Bronco that I restored. The other is her and I in a pheasant field in Indiana after a successful hunt. She was deadly for ducks and birds and the most loving creature ever in the house. Don't suppose I'll ever have another dog as great as she. It is a cruel thing that a hunter and his dog do not live the same lifetimes. Losing a hunting companion who would do anything you asked and do everything it could just for your approval and pleasure is worse than dying the death of a thousand stings. I include the video from Jimmy Stewart. The House of Parker is in deep mourning.
I am a Professor of Economics at East Carolina University in Greenville, NC.
My research focuses on macroeconomics and economic history in general and the economics of the Great Depression in particular. I have authored two books, Reflections on the Great Depression and The Economics of the Great Depression: A Twenty-First Century Look Back at the Economics of the Interwar Era and edited The Seminal Works of the Great Depression all published by Edward Elgar. I am currently working on my fourth book Interwar Historical Antecedents of Modern Inflation Targeting and I am the co-editor (with Robert Whaples) of The Handbook of Major Events in Economic History and The Handbook of Modern Economic History (both in progress).
I have also traveled the country giving speeches on the state of the macroeconomy and other economic issues to many trade and business associations and conventions. When I am not thinking about the economy I am either chasing ducks, handicapping horses or arranging a fine dining experience.
Lastly, the opinions expressed on this blog are mine alone and do not reflect upon East Carolina University in any manner or way, in whole or in part, now and forever more.