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Thursday, December 31, 2009

The Great Depression: Part IV




Let's jump ahead in our on again off again trip down history lane. I promised a multi-part history of the Great Depression and that continues today. Let's just go forward into the 1930s before we return to the 1920s.
The money supply is the product of the monetary base times the money multiplier. Here are the sad pictures from the Great Depression. As you can see on the left, the money supply crashed and burned because on the right, the excess reserve and the currency holding ratios both increased and crashed the money multiplier. The Fed did nothing to the monetary base and the money supply fell by about 33%.


Here are similar graphs today. As the money multiplier has crashed and burned (on the left), the moneary base has increased like it was shot out of a cannon.
This is one of the main reasons why we have not slipped back to the 1930s. All you have to do is eyeball it to see. See?






Tuesday, December 29, 2009

The New Deal's Economic Legacy


The attached web site is a link to the Conference I was a part of last Monday as an invited guest of the CATO Institute. Also on the program was the very capable Hal Cole of the University of Pennsylvania and the very capable Price Fishback from the University of Arizona. Hal Cole's presentation starts at the 1:35 minute mark. I start at the 21:21 minute mark. Price Fishback's presentation starts at the 32:12 minute mark. The question and answer session starts at the 49:05 minute mark.

http://www.cato.org/events/newdeal/index.html

Saturday, December 26, 2009

Friday, December 25, 2009

Merry Christmas!



This is why we love dogs and kids.

Merry Christmas to all!

This annual editorial from the Wall Street Journal is what Christmas is all about.

http://online.wsj.com/article/SB123008054671531917.html

Tuesday, December 22, 2009

Thursday, December 17, 2009